Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.025410 0.030597 0.036037 0.042125 0.048708 0.055574 0.063244
2025-12-28 0.019589 0.027179 0.035665 0.045661 0.056943 0.069139 0.083182
2026-01-04 0.013410 0.021823 0.031885 0.044328 0.058908 0.075130 0.094254
2026-01-11 0.010112 0.019111 0.030528 0.045203 0.062879 0.082949 0.106987
2026-01-18 0.007445 0.016612 0.028977 0.045460 0.065811 0.089325 0.117860
2026-01-25 0.005524 0.014708 0.027871 0.046007 0.068882 0.095693 0.128578
2026-02-01 0.003898 0.012834 0.026527 0.046039 0.071154 0.100991 0.137942
2026-02-08 0.002184 0.010196 0.023742 0.043906 0.070526 0.102661 0.142911
2026-02-15 0.001226 0.008542 0.022152 0.043195 0.071550 0.106212 0.150006
2026-02-22 0.000740 0.007677 0.021668 0.043921 0.074354 0.111885 0.159588
2026-03-01 0.000407 0.006954 0.021308 0.044755 0.077250 0.117639 0.169240
2026-03-08 0.000228 0.006562 0.021456 0.046287 0.081041 0.124484 0.180196
2026-03-15 0.000060 0.005816 0.020942 0.046910 0.083755 0.130169 0.189994
2026-03-22 0.000056 0.006248 0.022679 0.050956 0.091120 0.141746 0.207027
2026-03-29 NaN 0.004952 0.020913 0.049602 0.091144 0.144068 0.212781
2026-04-05 NaN 0.004465 0.020672 0.050539 0.094250 0.150257 0.223238
2026-04-12 NaN 0.003851 0.020045 0.050813 0.096409 0.155220 0.232176
2026-04-19 NaN 0.003378 0.019639 0.051394 0.098964 0.160668 0.241698
2026-04-26 NaN 0.002832 0.018933 0.051427 0.100716 0.165061 0.249896
2026-05-03 NaN 0.001909 0.016936 0.049167 0.099131 0.165075 0.252601
2026-05-10 NaN 0.001405 0.015882 0.048412 0.099634 0.167755 0.258588
2026-05-17 NaN 0.001200 0.015713 0.049183 0.102324 0.173282 0.268126
2026-05-24 NaN 0.001033 0.015618 0.050067 0.105171 0.179011 0.277913